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BLAST Slam VIII. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 1:2
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 1:2
summer bearwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
ariel · 25 games
56%
Jakiro
Jakiro
VaniLLl · 23 games
39%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 23 games
35%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
young G · 21 game
38%
Phoenix
Phoenix
VaniLLl · 20 games
50%
Techies
Techies
ariel · 18 games
44%
Rubick
Rubick
ariel · 17 games
47%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Covisnine · 16 games
50%

summer bear

Techies
Techies
Delight · 15 games
47%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
kae · 9 games
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Delight · 8 games
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
azimoff · 5 games
40%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
zuyzyan · 5 games
60%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
monodrama · 5 games
60%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
monodrama · 5 games
80%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
zuyzyan · 4 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
483 picks · 328 bans
51%
Bane
Bane
344 picks · 459 bans
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
333 picks · 512 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
322 picks · 505 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
312 picks · 639 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
283 picks · 313 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
269 picks · 193 bans
48%
Rubick
Rubick
259 picks · 145 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 52%
Hero pool strength51% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct45:26
Nemiga Gaming 63%summer bear 37%
The model gave 63% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 40:19.
Game 2prediction missed
Nemiga Gaming 63%summer bear 37%
The model gave 63% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by summer bear.
Game 3prediction missed
Nemiga Gaming 63%summer bear 37%
The model gave 63% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by summer bear.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 63%
Series resultsummer bear 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3