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The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yakult Brotherswin 2:1
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Tearlamentsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yakult Brothers

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 27 games
63%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
BoBoKa · 23 games
57%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
zeal · 23 games
48%
Magnus
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 22 games
64%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 20 games
65%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Emo · 20 games
45%
Phoenix
Phoenix
天命 · 19 games
53%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
BoBoKa · 17 games
35%

Tearlaments

Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Echo · 6 games
100%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
poyoyo · 6 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
zzq · 5 games
100%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
7e · 5 games
80%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Echo · 4 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Srf · 4 games
100%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
7e · 4 games
100%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
7e · 4 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
527 picks · 608 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
473 picks · 239 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
461 picks · 434 bans
49%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
372 picks · 788 bans
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
356 picks · 517 bans
52%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
346 picks · 796 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
340 picks · 301 bans
49%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
327 picks · 362 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 59%
Hero pool strength57% Tearlaments
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total70% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:26
Yakult Brothers 60%Tearlaments 40%
The model gave 60% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Tearlaments in 41:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinflyfly
57% · 156 games49% · 107 games
Lunapoyoyo
Luna
Puck
PuckEmo
52% · 190 games54% · 361 game
TinyEcho
Tiny
Axe
AxeELeVeN
37% · 39 games45% · 80 games
BrewmasterSrf
Brewmaster
Batrider
BatriderBoBoKa
45% · 303 games48% · 228 games
Dark Willow7e
Dark Willow
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetOli
52% · 130 games57% · 42 games
Treant Protectorzzq
Treant Protector
Game 2prediction correct37:22
Yakult Brothers 60%Tearlaments 40%
The model gave 60% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 49:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
Linaflyfly
58% · 185 games53% · 7 games
Anti-Magepoyoyo
Anti-Mage
Brewmaster
BrewmasterELeVeN
43% · 126 games49% · 372 games
TinyEcho
Tiny
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritEmo
52% · 398 games47% · 342 games
PangolierSrf
Pangolier
Naga Siren
Naga SirenOli
56% · 111 games51% · 96 games
Nature's Prophet7e
Nature's Prophet
Dark Willow
Dark WillowBoBoKa
48% · 272 games48% · 275 games
Phoenixzzq
Phoenix
Game 3prediction correct23:18
Yakult Brothers 62%Tearlaments 38%
The model gave 62% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 48:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingflyfly
52% · 180 games54% · 144 games
Linapoyoyo
Lina
Enigma
EnigmaELeVeN
51% · 101 game52% · 194 games
TimbersawEcho
Timbersaw
Void Spirit
Void SpiritEmo
51% · 67 games44% · 193 games
Centaur WarrunnerSrf
Centaur Warrunner
Tiny
TinyBoBoKa
51% · 274 games43% · 159 games
Snapfire7e
Snapfire
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetOli
49% · 110 games57% · 42 games
Treant Protectorzzq
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 70%
Series resultYakult Brothers 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3