The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionBABSJ and friendswin 2:0
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:0
4 Anchors + Dota Samaloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BSJ and friends
Death Prophetoften banned
monkeys-forever · 3 games
Abaddonoften banned
Sammyboy · 2 games
Muerta
Newsham · 2 games
Tinyoften banned
iAnnihilate · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
monkeys-forever · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
iAnnihilate · 1 game
Magnusoften banned
Newsham · 1 game
Queen of Painoften banned
iAnnihilate · 1 game
4 Anchors + Dota Sama
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
527 picks · 608 bans
Ringmaster
473 picks · 239 bans
Jakiro
461 picks · 434 bans
Terrorblade
372 picks · 788 bans
Storm Spirit
356 picks · 517 bans
Ancient Apparition
346 picks · 796 bans
Tusk
340 picks · 301 bans
Shadow Shaman
327 picks · 362 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% BSJ and friends
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% 4 Anchors + Dota Sama
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
BSJ and friends 42%4 Anchors + Dota Sama 58%
The model gave 58% on 4 Anchors + Dota Sama — the game was taken by BSJ and friends.
Game 2prediction missed
BSJ and friends 42%4 Anchors + Dota Sama 58%
The model gave 58% on 4 Anchors + Dota Sama — the game was taken by BSJ and friends.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Anchors + Dota Sama · 58%
Series resultBSJ and friends 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2