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CCT Season 2 Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Passion UAwin 2:0
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Passion UA

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
niche · 29 games
41%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 21 game
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Fernans · 19 games
26%
Muerta
Muerta
Fernans · 19 games
53%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Batyuk · 18 games
50%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Batyuk · 16 games
69%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 15 games
40%
Phoenix
Phoenix
kreker · 14 games
36%

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 13 games
31%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
bashka · 11 games
18%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Covisnine · 9 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
спортик · 8 games
0%
Muerta
Muerta
Shishak · 7 games
29%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 7 games
29%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
monodrama · 7 games
29%
Windranger
Windranger
xsvampire · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
522 picks · 602 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
471 picks · 237 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
468 picks · 434 bans
49%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
371 picks · 771 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
348 picks · 510 bans
52%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
342 picks · 788 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
326 picks · 297 bans
48%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
311 picks · 344 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)34% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Passion UA
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total65% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:28
Passion UA 43%Nemiga Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Passion UA in 40:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerCrystallize
46% · 90 games60% · 109 games
Svenbashka
Sven
Batrider
BatriderBatyuk
48% · 238 games46% · 288 games
Dragon Knightyoung G
Dragon Knight
Clinkz
ClinkzMoonlight
46% · 30 games54% · 139 games
Marsrincyq
Mars
Tusk
TuskQBFY
49% · 293 games49% · 163 games
Windrangerxsvampire
Windranger
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamankreker
50% · 131 game51% · 83 games
Silencermonodrama
Silencer
Game 2prediction missed29:10
Passion UA 43%Nemiga Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Passion UA in 42:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Brewmaster
BrewmasterBatyuk
48% · 92 games53% · 70 games
Phantom Assassinbashka
Phantom Assassin
Clinkz
ClinkzMoonlight
62% · 25 games50% · 39 games
Kunkkayoung G
Kunkka
Abaddon
AbaddonCrystallize
46% · 139 games52% · 112 games
Magnusrincyq
Magnus
Undying
Undyingkreker
51% · 62 games52% · 119 games
Jakiromonodrama
Jakiro
Lion
LionQBFY
50% · 162 games45% · 140 games
Tuskxsvampire
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 65%
Series resultPassion UA 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2