The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
4 Anchors + Dota Samaloss 0:2series probability
5%95%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Shopify Rebellionwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Anchors + Dota Sama
No games played over 6 months.
Shopify Rebellion
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 21 game
Terrorbladeoften banned
Timado · 17 games
Morphlingoften banned
Timado · 16 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Timado · 15 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 15 games
Ringmaster
Hellscream · 14 games
Clockwerksignature
Hellscream · 13 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Hellscream · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
520 picks · 601 bans
Ringmaster
470 picks · 237 bans
Jakiro
467 picks · 433 bans
Terrorblade
370 picks · 767 bans
Storm Spirit
347 picks · 506 bans
Ancient Apparition
340 picks · 787 bans
Tusk
325 picks · 294 bans
Windranger
310 picks · 95 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Shopify Rebellion
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total95% Shopify Rebellion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:49
4 Anchors + Dota Sama 5%Shopify Rebellion 95%
The model gave 95% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 31:50.
Game 2prediction correct14:37
4 Anchors + Dota Sama 5%Shopify Rebellion 95%
The model gave 95% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 28:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteShopify Rebellion · 95%
Series resultShopify Rebellion 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2