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CCT Season 2 Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Quantum Teamwin 2:0
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Quantum Team

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Rvze · 16 games
44%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Fezor · 12 games
25%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
takizawa · 12 games
42%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 11 games
27%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Rvze · 10 games
20%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Rvze · 8 games
13%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Lukas · 8 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Ankou · 8 games
25%

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 12 games
33%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
bashka · 10 games
20%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Covisnine · 9 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
спортик · 8 games
0%
Muerta
Muerta
Shishak · 7 games
29%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 7 games
29%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
monodrama · 7 games
29%
Windranger
Windranger
xsvampire · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
520 picks · 599 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
470 picks · 237 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
469 picks · 433 bans
49%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
370 picks · 763 bans
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
346 picks · 506 bans
52%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
340 picks · 786 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
324 picks · 295 bans
49%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
308 picks · 334 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 52%
Hero pool strength51% Quantum Team
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total63% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:16
Quantum Team 44%Nemiga Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Quantum Team in 44:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinLukas
52% · 221 game48% · 194 games
Svenbashka
Sven
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritAinkrad
49% · 417 games51% · 345 games
Tinyyoung G
Tiny
Brewmaster
BrewmasterPalantimos
51% · 176 games52% · 182 games
Dark SeerCovisnine
Dark Seer
Naga Siren
Naga SirenMary_y
52% · 136 games46% · 267 games
Tuskxsvampire
Tusk
Rubick
Rubickemptiness
51% · 331 game47% · 293 games
Jakiromonodrama
Jakiro
Game 2prediction missed30:10
Quantum Team 44%Nemiga Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Quantum Team in 39:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinLukas
54% · 116 games50% · 163 games
Morphlingbashka
Morphling
Mars
MarsPalantimos
58% · 137 games48% · 28 games
Death Prophetyoung G
Death Prophet
Huskar
HuskarAinkrad
59% · 31 game42% · 86 games
Void SpiritCovisnine
Void Spirit
Invoker
Invokeremptiness
51% · 213 games40% · 197 games
Batridermonodrama
Batrider
Undying
UndyingMary_y
56% · 49 games47% · 72 games
Earthshakerxsvampire
Earthshaker
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 63%
Series resultQuantum Team 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2