The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yoru Ryodanloss 0:1series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:1
BABSJ and friendswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yoru Ryodan
Lion
Ezekiel · 3 games
Clockwerk
Ezekiel · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Grimstroke
Ezekiel · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Iooften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Magnusoften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
BSJ and friends
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
519 picks · 591 bans
Jakiro
475 picks · 436 bans
Ringmaster
469 picks · 236 bans
Terrorblade
370 picks · 758 bans
Storm Spirit
341 picks · 506 bans
Ancient Apparition
337 picks · 778 bans
Tusk
322 picks · 290 bans
Windranger
306 picks · 94 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 57%
Hero pool strength54% BSJ and friends
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Yoru Ryodan
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Yoru Ryodan 60%BSJ and friends 40%
The model gave 60% on Yoru Ryodan — the game was taken by BSJ and friends.
Model check result
Model favoriteYoru Ryodan · 60%
Series resultBSJ and friends 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1