The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Shopify Rebellionwin 2:0series probability
96%4%
probability at match start · final 2:0
CDUB Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Shopify Rebellion
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 22 games
Morphlingoften banned
Timado · 17 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Timado · 16 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Timado · 15 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 15 games
Ringmaster
Hellscream · 14 games
Beastmasteroften banned
mangekyou · 13 games
Clockwerksignature
Hellscream · 13 games
CDUB Esports
Weaver
Ifrit · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Ifrit · 1 game
Muerta
N1NE · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 1 game
Rubick
N1NE · 1 game
Warlock
Ifrit · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
519 picks · 591 bans
Jakiro
475 picks · 436 bans
Ringmaster
469 picks · 236 bans
Terrorblade
369 picks · 758 bans
Storm Spirit
341 picks · 506 bans
Ancient Apparition
337 picks · 778 bans
Tusk
322 picks · 290 bans
Windranger
306 picks · 94 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 44%
Hero pool strength63% Shopify Rebellion
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total96% Shopify Rebellion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:21
Shopify Rebellion 96%CDUB Esports 4%
The model gave 96% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 22:27.
Game 2prediction correct
Shopify Rebellion 96%CDUB Esports 4%
The model gave 96% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion.
Model check result
Model favoriteShopify Rebellion · 96%
Series resultShopify Rebellion 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2