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Riyadh Masters 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:1
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Execrationloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Batrider
Batridersignature
Tims · 23 games
61%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
JaCkky · 21 game
52%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Mac · 21 game
67%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Mac · 20 games
55%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Fbz · 20 games
45%
Lion
Lion
Tims · 19 games
53%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
JaCkky · 17 games
71%
Doom
Doomsignature
Fbz · 15 games
67%

Execration

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Akashi · 14 games
64%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Abat · 11 games
36%
Lich
Lichsignature
cml · 10 games
90%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Tino- · 9 games
33%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Shanks · 8 games
63%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Tino- · 7 games
57%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Shanks · 6 games
33%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Shanks · 6 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
523 picks · 589 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
484 picks · 437 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
468 picks · 235 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
369 picks · 756 bans
49%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
337 picks · 773 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
337 picks · 514 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
321 picks · 290 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
306 picks · 93 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head6 – 1
Model total72% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:8
BOOM Esports 62%Execration 38%
The model gave 62% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 31:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritArmel
47% · 92 games53% · 160 games
UrsaPalos
Ursa
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinJaCkky
49% · 61 game45% · 129 games
MarsTino-
Mars
Dark Seer
Dark SeerJabz
46% · 171 game61% · 16 games
Techiescml
Techies
Silencer
SilencerJaunuel
52% · 57 games56% · 125 games
Shadow ShamanShanks
Shadow Shaman
Slark
SlarkTims
46% · 49 games
Game 2prediction missed11:29
BOOM Esports 61%Execration 39%
The model gave 61% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Execration in 29:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinJaCkky
60% · 91 game48% · 197 games
Phantom AssassinPalos
Phantom Assassin
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritArmel
48% · 127 games53% · 213 games
MagnusTino-
Magnus
Death Prophet
Death ProphetJabz
45% · 14 games55% · 162 games
Shadow ShamanShanks
Shadow Shaman
Tiny
TinyTims
45% · 285 games41% · 22 games
Witch Doctorcml
Witch Doctor
Silencer
SilencerJaunuel
44% · 77 games
Game 3prediction correct31:14
BOOM Esports 62%Execration 38%
The model gave 62% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 41:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeJaCkky
49% · 234 games43% · 169 games
KunkkaPalos
Kunkka
Pangolier
PangolierArmel
47% · 262 games55% · 288 games
MagnusTino-
Magnus
Bristleback
BristlebackJabz
55% · 213 games44% · 289 games
Dark WillowShanks
Dark Willow
Naga Siren
Naga SirenJaunuel
59% · 81 game44% · 200 games
Ringmastercml
Ringmaster
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonTims
58% · 156 games
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 72%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3