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Riyadh Masters 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Kukuysloss 0:2
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yangon Galacticoswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Kukuys

Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Armel · 6 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Jing · 5 games
60%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Natsumi · 5 games
40%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Yowe · 4 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Jing · 4 games
25%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Yowe · 3 games
0%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Yowe · 3 games
67%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Yowe · 3 games
67%

Yangon Galacticos

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Young PH · 4 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 4 games
0%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
33%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
0%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
0%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ksh · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
516 picks · 582 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
486 picks · 438 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
468 picks · 235 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
366 picks · 745 bans
48%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
334 picks · 767 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
333 picks · 511 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
319 picks · 288 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
306 picks · 93 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 30%
Hero pool strength55% Kukuys
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total74% Kukuys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:30
Kukuys 62%Yangon Galacticos 38%
The model gave 62% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 57:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackNatsumi
52% · 148 games53% · 321 game
BeastmasterJG
Beastmaster
Pangolier
PangolierYowe
52% · 214 games53% · 64 games
Void SpiritYoung PH
Void Spirit
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerForce
50% · 104 games46% · 117 games
UrsaKsh
Ursa
Silencer
SilencerGabbi
43% · 36 games
Game 2prediction missed47:36
Kukuys 64%Yangon Galacticos 36%
The model gave 64% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 1:11:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorNatsumi
53% · 105 games51% · 106 games
PuckYoung PH
Puck
Kunkka
KunkkaYowe
51% · 96 games52% · 145 games
GyrocopterKsh
Gyrocopter
Mars
MarsForce
48% · 151 game39% · 186 games
PangolierJG
Pangolier
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionGabbi
58% · 85 games
Model check result
Model favoriteKukuys · 74%
Series resultYangon Galacticos 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2