Immortal Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Scccloss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team DYwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Sccc
No games played over 6 months.
Team DY
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
512 picks · 583 bans
Jakiro
487 picks · 439 bans
Ringmaster
466 picks · 235 bans
Terrorblade
365 picks · 740 bans
Storm Spirit
332 picks · 510 bans
Ancient Apparition
331 picks · 764 bans
Tusk
316 picks · 284 bans
Windranger
305 picks · 93 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team Sccc
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Team Sccc
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:34
Team Sccc 52%Team DY 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Sccc — the game was taken by Team DY in 38:32.
Game 2prediction missed37:37
Team Sccc 52%Team DY 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Sccc — the game was taken by Team DY in 1:01:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Sccc · 52%
Series resultTeam DY 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2