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The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
OG LATAMwin 2:1
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Sin Compromisoloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG LATAM

Tusk
Tusk
Elmisho · 7 games
43%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
MoOz · 6 games
50%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
ILICH- · 5 games
40%
Jakiro
Jakiro
MoOz · 5 games
20%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
Elmisho · 5 games
40%
Underlord
Underlord
ILICH- · 5 games
40%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
K1 · 5 games
60%
Warlock
Warlock
MoOz · 4 games
50%

Team Sin Compromiso

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Genek · 4 games
75%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
DarkMago · 3 games
100%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Parker · 3 games
100%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
DarkMago · 2 games
100%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Parker · 2 games
100%
Mars
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 2 games
100%
Muerta
Muerta
Genek · 2 games
100%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
Panda · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
505 picks · 581 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
493 picks · 442 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
466 picks · 232 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
360 picks · 728 bans
47%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
327 picks · 751 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
327 picks · 508 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
316 picks · 274 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
303 picks · 93 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 75%
Hero pool strength63% Team Sin Compromiso
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Team Sin Compromiso
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:13
OG LATAM 37%Team Sin Compromiso 63%
The model gave 63% on Team Sin Compromiso — the game was taken by OG LATAM in 30:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeK1
48% · 234 games55% · 216 games
Templar AssassinParker
Templar Assassin
Batrider
BatriderILICH-
45% · 305 games53% · 163 games
SniperDarkMago
Sniper
Monkey King
Monkey KingTaiLung
50% · 279 games47% · 173 games
DawnbreakerSacred
Dawnbreaker
Silencer
SilencerElmisho
43% · 63 games53% · 237 games
Nature's ProphetGenek
Nature's Prophet
Tusk
TuskMoOz
50% · 345 games53% · 437 games
ClockwerkPanda
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct21:35
OG LATAM 38%Team Sin Compromiso 62%
The model gave 62% on Team Sin Compromiso — the game was taken by Team Sin Compromiso in 42:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaK1
54% · 98 games47% · 165 games
SvenParker
Sven
Dark Seer
Dark SeerILICH-
56% · 206 games37% · 60 games
SlardarDarkMago
Slardar
Underlord
UnderlordTaiLung
50% · 82 games43% · 118 games
MarsSacred
Mars
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightMoOz
54% · 66 games51% · 70 games
Naga SirenPanda
Naga Siren
Oracle
OracleElmisho
52% · 34 games54% · 73 games
Shadow ShamanGenek
Shadow Shaman
Game 3prediction missed28:22
OG LATAM 37%Team Sin Compromiso 63%
The model gave 63% on Team Sin Compromiso — the game was taken by OG LATAM in 39:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeK1
47% · 282 games49% · 353 games
GyrocopterParker
Gyrocopter
Pangolier
PangolierILICH-
49% · 450 games54% · 577 games
TinyDarkMago
Tiny
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritTaiLung
51% · 326 games40% · 7 games
Legion CommanderSacred
Legion Commander
Dark Willow
Dark WillowMoOz
48% · 247 games50% · 418 games
TuskGenek
Tusk
Silencer
SilencerElmisho
46% · 118 games55% · 68 games
OraclePanda
Oracle
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Sin Compromiso · 70%
Series resultOG LATAM 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3