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The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
OG LATAMwin 2:0
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Infamousloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG LATAM

Ringmaster
Ringmaster
MoOz · 6 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
Elmisho · 6 games
33%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
ILICH- · 5 games
40%
Jakiro
Jakiro
MoOz · 5 games
20%
Underlord
Underlord
ILICH- · 5 games
40%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
K1 · 5 games
60%
Warlock
Warlock
MoOz · 4 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
MoOz · 3 games
0%

Infamous

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Hermit · 13 games
46%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
S1RENM · 11 games
18%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
S1RENM · 8 games
63%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
JimmyCoff666 · 6 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
JimmyCoff666 · 6 games
67%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
JimmyCoff666 · 6 games
33%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
S1RENM · 6 games
50%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
DM · 6 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
503 picks · 581 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
493 picks · 442 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
462 picks · 232 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
358 picks · 726 bans
47%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
327 picks · 746 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
324 picks · 507 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
313 picks · 270 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
303 picks · 93 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)23% vs 58%
Hero pool strength52% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% OG LATAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:13
OG LATAM 54%Infamous 46%
The model gave 54% on OG LATAM — the game was taken by OG LATAM in 32:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaK1
54% · 100 games48% · 117 games
SniperAlone
Sniper
Lina
LinaTaiLung
59% · 104 games46% · 85 games
LifestealerJP
Lifestealer
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerILICH-
51% · 117 games48% · 147 games
Nature's Prophetsl4d1n-
Nature's Prophet
Tusk
TuskElmisho
48% · 223 games43% · 279 games
PhoenixCHAAANNN
Phoenix
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanMoOz
59% · 84 games
Game 2prediction correct26:9
OG LATAM 54%Infamous 46%
The model gave 54% on OG LATAM — the game was taken by OG LATAM in 26:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeK1
49% · 193 games42% · 111 games
LinaAlone
Lina
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendTaiLung
51% · 124 games45% · 63 games
SlardarJP
Slardar
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerILICH-
57% · 131 game47% · 203 games
Batridersl4d1n-
Batrider
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanMoOz
56% · 103 games48% · 224 games
GyrocopterCHAAANNN
Gyrocopter
Oracle
OracleElmisho
60% · 50 games
Model check result
Model favoriteOG LATAM · 61%
Series resultOG LATAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2