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BetBoom Streamers Battle 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rostik Teamloss 0:2
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
YBN Teamwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Rostik Team

Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
zvёzd · 3 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
9970- · 3 games
100%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
zvёzd · 3 games
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
iful · 2 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Vlad · 2 games
0%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
9970- · 2 games
0%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
iful · 1 game
100%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
9970- · 1 game
100%

YBN Team

Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 3 games
100%
Lion
Lion
EARTHQ · 3 games
100%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
nesfeer · 2 games
50%
Huskar
Huskaroften banned
ybicanoooobov · 2 games
50%
Omniknight
Omniknightoften banned
Limitless · 2 games
100%
Rubick
Rubick
EARTHQ · 2 games
50%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 2 games
50%
Silencer
Silencer
good_mma · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
500 picks · 577 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
493 picks · 444 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
458 picks · 232 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
360 picks · 724 bans
47%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
324 picks · 741 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
324 picks · 506 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
308 picks · 267 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
300 picks · 93 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 67%
Hero pool strength54% YBN Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total63% YBN Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:35
Rostik Team 45%YBN Team 55%
The model gave 55% on YBN Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 36:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
Kezzvёzd
little data52% · 47 games
Linanesfeer
Lina
Dark Seer
Dark Seer9970-
56% · 179 games52% · 58 games
Magnusybicanoooobov
Magnus
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunteriful
45% · 72 games41% · 69 games
MarsLimitless
Mars
Oracle
OracleVlad
65% · 41 game41% · 60 games
Nature's ProphetEARTHQ
Nature's Prophet
43% · 58 games
Crystal Maidengood_mma
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct21:42
Rostik Team 43%YBN Team 57%
The model gave 57% on YBN Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 40:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painzvёzd
43% · 84 games51% · 97 games
Phantom Assassinnesfeer
Phantom Assassin
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light9970-
58% · 77 games48% · 176 games
Dragon Knightybicanoooobov
Dragon Knight
Sand King
Sand Kingiful
54% · 195 games50% · 62 games
RazorLimitless
Razor
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionVlad
52% · 47 games42% · 47 games
MarciEARTHQ
Marci
50% · 21 game
Treant Protectorgood_mma
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoriteYBN Team · 63%
Series resultYBN Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2