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The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
OG LATAMloss 1:2
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Edgewin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG LATAM

Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
ILICH- · 5 games
40%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
MoOz · 5 games
60%
Tusk
Tusk
Elmisho · 5 games
40%
Jakiro
Jakiro
MoOz · 4 games
25%
Underlord
Underlord
ILICH- · 4 games
50%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
K1 · 4 games
75%
Warlock
Warlock
MoOz · 4 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
MoOz · 3 games
0%

Edge

Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Yadomi · 11 games
45%
Muerta
Muerta
Michael · 9 games
22%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Vitaly · 8 games
25%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
PiPi · 8 games
25%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Yadomi · 7 games
29%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Vitaly · 6 games
33%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Vitaly · 5 games
60%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Vitaly · 5 games
20%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
499 picks · 576 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
489 picks · 443 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
455 picks · 232 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
359 picks · 718 bans
47%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
323 picks · 736 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
323 picks · 505 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
305 picks · 266 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
300 picks · 93 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 30%
Hero pool strength55% OG LATAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Edge
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:20
OG LATAM 45%Edge 55%
The model gave 55% on Edge — the game was taken by OG LATAM in 44:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaTaiLung
51% · 102 games52% · 41 game
Drow Rangerpayk
Drow Ranger
Tidehunter
TidehunterK1
48% · 157 games53% · 160 games
Dark SeerVitaly
Dark Seer
Undying
UndyingILICH-
50% · 53 games48% · 270 games
PangolierPiPi
Pangolier
Rubick
RubickElmisho
49% · 222 games46% · 132 games
WeaverYadomi
Weaver
Dark Willow
Dark WillowMoOz
49% · 273 games55% · 204 games
TuskMichael
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct12:37
OG LATAM 44%Edge 56%
The model gave 56% on Edge — the game was taken by Edge in 38:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonK1
45% · 66 games54% · 117 games
Linapayk
Lina
Axe
AxeILICH-
56% · 22 games50% · 16 games
Death ProphetVitaly
Death Prophet
Tiny
TinyTaiLung
48% · 264 games54% · 57 games
Naga SirenYadomi
Naga Siren
Ringmaster
RingmasterMoOz
37% · 91 game53% · 211 games
MagnusPiPi
Magnus
Jakiro
JakiroElmisho
44% · 151 game59% · 193 games
Shadow ShamanMichael
Shadow Shaman
Game 3prediction correct23:46
OG LATAM 45%Edge 55%
The model gave 55% on Edge — the game was taken by Edge in 48:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaK1
53% · 87 games46% · 59 games
Razorpayk
Razor
Death Prophet
Death ProphetTaiLung
43% · 18 games49% · 82 games
DawnbreakerVitaly
Dawnbreaker
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetMoOz
48% · 151 game59% · 182 games
Monkey KingPiPi
Monkey King
Underlord
UnderlordILICH-
43% · 61 game58% · 128 games
RingmasterYadomi
Ringmaster
Tusk
TuskElmisho
42% · 230 games53% · 96 games
Shadow ShamanMichael
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favoriteEdge · 59%
Series resultEdge 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3