The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Sin Compromisoloss 1:2series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Heroicwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Sin Compromiso
Gyrocopteroften banned
Parker · 2 games
Linaoften banned
Parker · 2 games
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 2 games
Naga Sirenoften banned
Panda · 2 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Genek · 2 games
Bane
Panda · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
DarkMago · 1 game
Doomoften banned
Sacred · 1 game
Heroic
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 21 game
Magnussignature
Wisper · 20 games
Muerta
Scofield · 19 games
Phoenixsignature
KJ · 18 games
Jakiro
KJ · 17 games
Bristlebacksignature
Wisper · 15 games
Earthshakersignature
4nalog · 14 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Wisper · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
496 picks · 575 bans
Jakiro
489 picks · 443 bans
Ringmaster
455 picks · 232 bans
Terrorblade
358 picks · 715 bans
Ancient Apparition
323 picks · 736 bans
Storm Spirit
322 picks · 504 bans
Tusk
303 picks · 264 bans
Windranger
300 picks · 93 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)80% vs 40%
Hero pool strength57% Team Sin Compromiso
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:32
Team Sin Compromiso 42%Heroic 58%
The model gave 58% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 45:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow RangerParker
LinaYuma
Sand KingDarkMago
Slardar4nalog
Nature's ProphetGenek
EnigmaWisper
PangolierSacred
TinyScofield
WarlockPanda
Treant ProtectorKJ
Game 2prediction missed33:15
Team Sin Compromiso 41%Heroic 59%
The model gave 59% on Heroic — the game was taken by Team Sin Compromiso in 38:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingParker
Templar AssassinYuma
TerrorbladeSacred
BrewmasterWisper
TinyDarkMago
Ember Spirit4nalog
DawnbreakerPanda
Shadow ShamanScofield
Dark WillowGenek
TuskKJ
Game 3prediction correct21:44
Team Sin Compromiso 44%Heroic 56%
The model gave 56% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 1:04:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll WarlordParker
KunkkaWisper
TinyDarkMago
Beastmaster4nalog
TimbersawSacred
UrsaYuma
WeaverGenek
WarlockKJ
OraclePanda
TuskScofield
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 65%
Series resultHeroic 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3