The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Veritas Brothersloss 0:1series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 0:1
SXSustancia Xwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Veritas Brothers
Dark Seeroften banned
Oscar · 2 games
Abaddonoften banned
Oscar · 1 game
Centaur Warrunner
Oscar · 1 game
Clockwerk
Gardick · 1 game
Disruptor
Gardick · 1 game
Linaoften banned
Costabile · 1 game
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Gardick · 1 game
Phoenix
Gardick · 1 game
Sustancia X
Bristlebackoften banned
drakesh1t · 2 games
Clockwerk
555k · 2 games
Silencer
555k · 2 games
Tinyoften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 2 games
Tusk
Pamplona · 2 games
Zeus
Pamplona · 2 games
Bounty Hunter
Pamplona · 1 game
Dark Willow
Pamplona · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
484 picks · 448 bans
Tiny
480 picks · 564 bans
Ringmaster
451 picks · 232 bans
Terrorblade
353 picks · 711 bans
Ancient Apparition
313 picks · 726 bans
Storm Spirit
312 picks · 491 bans
Tusk
303 picks · 255 bans
Windranger
292 picks · 91 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Veritas Brothers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% Veritas Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Veritas Brothers 77%Sustancia X 23%
The model gave 77% on Veritas Brothers — the game was taken by Sustancia X.
Model check result
Model favoriteVeritas Brothers · 77%
Series resultSustancia X 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1