Immortal Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
Team DYloss 0:2series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team YYFwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team DY
No games played over 6 months.
Team YYF
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
484 picks · 449 bans
Tiny
480 picks · 564 bans
Ringmaster
450 picks · 232 bans
Terrorblade
354 picks · 709 bans
Storm Spirit
313 picks · 489 bans
Ancient Apparition
311 picks · 723 bans
Tusk
307 picks · 252 bans
Windranger
292 picks · 91 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 33%
Hero pool strength50% Team DY
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total72% Team DY
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:26
Team DY 72%Team YYF 28%
The model gave 72% on Team DY — the game was taken by Team YYF in 44:07.
Game 2prediction missed20:38
Team DY 72%Team YYF 28%
The model gave 72% on Team DY — the game was taken by Team YYF in 40:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam DY · 72%
Series resultTeam YYF 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2