?
arrow_backBack to match
The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
eSpoiledloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 10 games
30%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
bashka · 10 games
20%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
спортик · 8 games
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Covisnine · 7 games
71%
Muerta
Muerta
Shishak · 6 games
33%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 6 games
33%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
спортик · 5 games
60%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 5 games
40%

eSpoiled

Tusk
Tusksignature
Wein · 6 games
67%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
ssnovv1 · 4 games
50%
Windranger
Windranger
Wein · 4 games
25%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
asdekor_r · 3 games
33%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
asdekor_r · 2 games
50%
Bane
Bane
asdekor_r · 2 games
100%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
ssnovv1 · 2 games
50%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
asdekor_r · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
483 picks · 449 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
479 picks · 562 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
448 picks · 232 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
353 picks · 700 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
309 picks · 484 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
308 picks · 718 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
302 picks · 252 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
291 picks · 91 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 67%
Hero pool strength60% eSpoiled
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total52% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:10
Nemiga Gaming 47%eSpoiled 53%
The model gave 53% on eSpoiled — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 35:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
Svenbashka
48% · 39 games51% · 252 games
Muertassnovv1
Muerta
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightyoung G
53% · 134 games52% · 108 games
Shadow ShamanWein
Shadow Shaman
Death Prophet
Death ProphetCovisnine
39% · 10 games49% · 34 games
Undyingasdekor_r
Undying
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionmonodrama
58% · 67 games
Tusk
Tuskxsvampire
43% · 144 games
Game 2prediction correct38:26
Nemiga Gaming 46%eSpoiled 54%
The model gave 54% on eSpoiled — the game was taken by eSpoiled in 51:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunabashka
37% · 58 games56% · 40 games
Drow Rangerssnovv1
Drow Ranger
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirityoung G
43% · 60 games58% · 160 games
Naga Sirenasdekor_r
Naga Siren
Pangolier
PangolierCovisnine
46% · 86 games58% · 121 game
Shadow ShamanWein
Shadow Shaman
Silencer
Silencermonodrama
47% · 24 games
Tusk
Tuskxsvampire
41% · 93 games
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 52%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 2