The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTCTeam Curtainwin 2:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:1
栗栗神全球粉丝后援会loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Curtain
No games played over 6 months.
栗神全球粉丝后援会
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
483 picks · 449 bans
Tiny
477 picks · 560 bans
Ringmaster
448 picks · 231 bans
Terrorblade
352 picks · 695 bans
Storm Spirit
309 picks · 477 bans
Ancient Apparition
308 picks · 710 bans
Tusk
301 picks · 250 bans
Windranger
291 picks · 90 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team Curtain
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Team Curtain
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:12
Team Curtain 55%栗神全球粉丝后援会 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Curtain — the game was taken by Team Curtain in 27:15.
Game 2prediction missed33:40
Team Curtain 55%栗神全球粉丝后援会 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Curtain — the game was taken by 栗神全球粉丝后援会 in 42:33.
Game 3prediction correct32:7
Team Curtain 55%栗神全球粉丝后援会 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Curtain — the game was taken by Team Curtain in 23:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Curtain · 55%
Series resultTeam Curtain 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3