The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionLGLose Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
WWHGwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Lose Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
WHG
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
483 picks · 449 bans
Tiny
477 picks · 560 bans
Ringmaster
448 picks · 231 bans
Terrorblade
352 picks · 695 bans
Storm Spirit
309 picks · 477 bans
Ancient Apparition
308 picks · 710 bans
Tusk
301 picks · 250 bans
Windranger
291 picks · 90 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Lose Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Lose Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed40:3
Lose Gaming 55%WHG 45%
The model gave 55% on Lose Gaming — the game was taken by WHG in 21:37.
Game 2prediction missed
Lose Gaming 55%WHG 45%
The model gave 55% on Lose Gaming — the game was taken by WHG.
Model check result
Model favoriteLose Gaming · 55%
Series resultWHG 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2