The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTDTeam Dashloss 0:2
series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Tearlamentswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Dash
No games played over 6 months.
Tearlaments
Ringmaster
7e · 4 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Echo · 2 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Srf · 2 games
Centaur Warrunner
Srf · 2 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Echo · 2 games
Muerta
poyoyo · 2 games
Puckoften banned
Echo · 2 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
poyoyo · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
483 picks · 449 bans
Tiny
477 picks · 560 bans
Ringmaster
448 picks · 231 bans
Terrorblade
352 picks · 695 bans
Storm Spirit
309 picks · 477 bans
Ancient Apparition
308 picks · 710 bans
Tusk
301 picks · 250 bans
Windranger
291 picks · 90 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength57% Team Dash
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Tearlaments
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct1:30
Team Dash 20%Tearlaments 80%
The model gave 80% on Tearlaments — the game was taken by Tearlaments in 17:37.
Game 2prediction correct15:43
Team Dash 20%Tearlaments 80%
The model gave 80% on Tearlaments — the game was taken by Tearlaments in 27:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteTearlaments · 80%
Series resultTearlaments 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2