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Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
AllStarswin 1:0
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:0
SQUAD ZETAloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

AllStars

Warlock
Warlock
Accel · 5 games
100%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
bsK7- · 3 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Sacred · 3 games
67%
Omniknight
Omniknightoften banned
blessed kid · 3 games
67%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Benjimon · 3 games
100%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
bsK7- · 3 games
67%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Sacred · 2 games
100%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Accel · 2 games
50%

SQUAD ZETA

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
483 picks · 449 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
477 picks · 560 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
448 picks · 231 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
352 picks · 695 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
309 picks · 477 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
308 picks · 710 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
301 picks · 250 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
291 picks · 90 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% AllStars
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% AllStars
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
AllStars 56%SQUAD ZETA 44%
The model gave 56% on AllStars — the game was taken by AllStars.
Model check result
Model favoriteAllStars · 56%
Series resultAllStars 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1