Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yoru Ryodanwin 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MMoneyfestloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yoru Ryodan
Lion
Ezekiel · 3 games
Clockwerk
Ezekiel · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Grimstroke
Ezekiel · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Iooften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Magnusoften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Moneyfest
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
482 picks · 448 bans
Tiny
477 picks · 559 bans
Ringmaster
447 picks · 229 bans
Terrorblade
352 picks · 692 bans
Storm Spirit
309 picks · 476 bans
Ancient Apparition
308 picks · 708 bans
Tusk
299 picks · 250 bans
Windranger
291 picks · 90 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% Moneyfest
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Yoru Ryodan
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:47
Yoru Ryodan 59%Moneyfest 41%
The model gave 59% on Yoru Ryodan — the game was taken by Yoru Ryodan in 55:29.
Game 2prediction correct41:25
Yoru Ryodan 59%Moneyfest 41%
The model gave 59% on Yoru Ryodan — the game was taken by Yoru Ryodan in 29:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteYoru Ryodan · 59%
Series resultYoru Ryodan 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2