BetBoom Streamers Battle 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Dyrachyo Teamloss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Stariy_bog Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Dyrachyo Team
Crystal Maiden
sony9sha · 2 games
Leshrac
Sixyooo · 2 games
Tusk
xsvampire · 2 games
Vengeful Spirit
sony9sha · 2 games
Viperoften banned
LenaGol0vach · 2 games
Axe
LenaGol0vach · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
LenaGol0vach · 1 game
Clockwerk
xsvampire · 1 game
Stariy_bog Team
Magnusoften banned
Stariy bog · 2 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
krylat · 1 game
Enigmaoften banned
krylat · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
4IVAN · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
krylat · 1 game
Lifestealeroften banned
4IVAN · 1 game
Linaoften banned
4IVAN · 1 game
Lion
FlexSlut · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
482 picks · 448 bans
Tiny
477 picks · 559 bans
Ringmaster
446 picks · 229 bans
Terrorblade
352 picks · 692 bans
Storm Spirit
309 picks · 476 bans
Ancient Apparition
308 picks · 708 bans
Tusk
299 picks · 250 bans
Windranger
291 picks · 90 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 29%
Hero pool strength51% Dyrachyo Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Stariy_bog Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:32
Dyrachyo Team 51%Stariy_bog Team 49%
The model gave 51% on Dyrachyo Team — the game was taken by Stariy_bog Team in 41:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophetdyrachyo
Gyrocopter4IVAN
DawnbreakerSixyooo
Skywrath MageStariy bog
AbaddonLenaGol0vach
Axekrylat
RingmasterImmersion
Shadow DemonFlexSlut
Crystal Maidensony9sha
Game 2prediction missed33:60
Dyrachyo Team 50%Stariy_bog Team 50%
The model gave 50% on Dyrachyo Team — the game was taken by Stariy_bog Team in 31:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
PangolierImmersion
Phantom Assassin4IVAN
Spirit BreakerSixyooo
Ogre MagiStariy bog
Vengeful Spiritdyrachyo
Marcikrylat
Skywrath MageLenaGol0vach
WarlockFlexSlut
Crystal Maidensony9sha
Model check result
Model favoriteStariy_bog Team · 52%
Series resultStariy_bog Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2