Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Secretwin 2:0series probability
93%7%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Secret
Tinysignature
Supream^ · 14 games
Bristlebacksignature
MikSa` · 13 games
Lionsignature
Thiolicor · 13 games
Pangolieroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 12 games
Chensignature
Puppey · 11 games
Elder Titan
Puppey · 11 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Parker · 10 games
Nyx Assassin
Thiolicor · 10 games
Winners
Elder Titan
Gaga · 1 game
Hoodwink
Panda · 1 game
Huskaroften banned
Panda · 1 game
Lich
Gaga · 1 game
Ogre Magi
Gaga · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Panda · 1 game
Warlock
Gaga · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
481 picks · 448 bans
Tiny
474 picks · 557 bans
Ringmaster
446 picks · 229 bans
Terrorblade
350 picks · 686 bans
Storm Spirit
310 picks · 471 bans
Ancient Apparition
303 picks · 706 bans
Tusk
298 picks · 249 bans
Windranger
291 picks · 88 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 56%
Hero pool strength59% Team Secret
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total93% Team Secret
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:14
Team Secret 93%Winners 7%
The model gave 93% on Team Secret — the game was taken by Team Secret in 25:49.
Game 2prediction correct43:25
Team Secret 93%Winners 7%
The model gave 93% on Team Secret — the game was taken by Team Secret in 30:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Secret · 93%
Series resultTeam Secret 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2