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Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
ShashMinloss 1:2
series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Cyber Goosewin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

ShashMin

No games played over 6 months.

Cyber Goose

Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Noticed · 2 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
Solo · 2 games
50%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
TA2000 · 1 game
0%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Noticed · 1 game
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 1 game
0%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
TA2000 · 1 game
100%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 1 game
0%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Solo · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
481 picks · 446 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
473 picks · 555 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
445 picks · 227 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
348 picks · 685 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
310 picks · 466 bans
54%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
301 picks · 700 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
296 picks · 248 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
288 picks · 88 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 70%
Hero pool strength52% ShashMin
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Cyber Goose
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:26
ShashMin 33%Cyber Goose 67%
The model gave 67% on Cyber Goose — the game was taken by Cyber Goose in 28:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Primal Beast
Primal BeastSerenada
51% · 104 games46% · 127 games
UrsaTA2000
Ursa
Slark
Slarkegx
50% · 58 games49% · 150 games
Centaur WarrunnerNoticed
Centaur Warrunner
Windranger
Windrangerarmageddon
54% · 191 game51% · 162 games
Monkey KingChira JUNIOR
Monkey King
Jakiro
JakiroJANTER
48% · 216 games55% · 93 games
Shadow Shamanprblms
Shadow Shaman
45% · 37 games
DisruptorSolo
Disruptor
Game 2prediction missed22:9
ShashMin 31%Cyber Goose 69%
The model gave 69% on Cyber Goose — the game was taken by ShashMin in 32:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeegx
47% · 310 games50% · 76 games
SvenTA2000
Sven
Death Prophet
Death ProphetSerenada
40% · 19 games56% · 176 games
BeastmasterNoticed
Beastmaster
Windranger
Windrangerarmageddon
48% · 274 games57% · 138 games
Storm SpiritChira JUNIOR
Storm Spirit
Disruptor
DisruptorJANTER
45% · 50 games53% · 111 games
Nature's ProphetSolo
Nature's Prophet
49% · 152 games
Ringmasterprblms
Ringmaster
Game 3prediction correct12:35
ShashMin 32%Cyber Goose 68%
The model gave 68% on Cyber Goose — the game was taken by Cyber Goose in 30:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Primal Beast
Primal BeastSerenada
47% · 191 game51% · 75 games
LinaTA2000
Lina
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeegx
52% · 219 games42% · 78 games
UnderlordNoticed
Underlord
Disruptor
DisruptorJANTER
46% · 45 games50% · 306 games
PangolierChira JUNIOR
Pangolier
Dark Willow
Dark Willowarmageddon
55% · 229 games54% · 148 games
Shadow DemonSolo
Shadow Demon
51% · 77 games
Shadow Shamanprblms
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favoriteCyber Goose · 80%
Series resultCyber Goose 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3