Immortal Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
Team FYwin 2:0series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team 老陈loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team FY
No games played over 6 months.
Team 老陈
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
481 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
473 picks · 554 bans
Ringmaster
445 picks · 227 bans
Terrorblade
348 picks · 683 bans
Storm Spirit
310 picks · 465 bans
Ancient Apparition
301 picks · 697 bans
Tusk
296 picks · 248 bans
Windranger
288 picks · 88 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% Team FY
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Team 老陈
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:14
Team FY 31%Team 老陈 69%
The model gave 69% on Team 老陈 — the game was taken by Team FY in 37:03.
Game 2prediction missed8:32
Team FY 31%Team 老陈 69%
The model gave 69% on Team 老陈 — the game was taken by Team FY in 33:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam 老陈 · 69%
Series resultTeam FY 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2