BetBoom Streamers Battle 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Korb3n Teamloss 1:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:2
GoodWin Teamwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Korb3n Team
Brewmasteroften banned
krol9ash · 2 games
Jakiro
Korb3n · 2 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Koma` · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
krol9ash · 1 game
Disruptor
Korb3n · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
Koma` · 1 game
Lich
Korb3n · 1 game
Magnusoften banned
fn · 1 game
GoodWin Team
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Mariachi · 2 games
Techies
Lesn4ok · 2 games
Void Spirit
GoodWin · 2 games
Axe
meLes · 1 game
Crystal Maiden
Lesn4ok · 1 game
Dark Willow
Leviamur · 1 game
Disruptor
Leviamur · 1 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
GoodWin · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
482 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
473 picks · 556 bans
Ringmaster
444 picks · 227 bans
Terrorblade
348 picks · 683 bans
Storm Spirit
311 picks · 465 bans
Ancient Apparition
300 picks · 697 bans
Tusk
298 picks · 248 bans
Windranger
288 picks · 88 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 43%
Hero pool strength58% GoodWin Team
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total58% GoodWin Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:37
Korb3n Team 46%GoodWin Team 54%
The model gave 54% on GoodWin Team — the game was taken by Korb3n Team in 1:06:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless VoidKoma`
KunkkaMariachi
Pangolierfn
MarciChodΣX
Abaddonkrol9ash
Death ProphetGoodWin
PugnaЖеня про Дотку
RingmasterLesn4ok
SvenKorb3n
LichLeviamur
Game 2prediction correct31:44
Korb3n Team 45%GoodWin Team 55%
The model gave 55% on GoodWin Team — the game was taken by GoodWin Team in 41:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Chaos KnightKoma`
JuggernautMariachi
Queen of Painfn
Legion CommanderChodΣX
Spectrekrol9ash
BaneGoodWin
PugnaЖеня про Дотку
Nyx AssassinLesn4ok
Ancient ApparitionKorb3n
VenomancerLeviamur
Game 3prediction correct12:30
Korb3n Team 46%GoodWin Team 54%
The model gave 54% on GoodWin Team — the game was taken by GoodWin Team in 27:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Painfn
Nature's ProphetMariachi
Centaur Warrunnerkrol9ash
MagnusChodΣX
MuertaKoma`
TidehunterGoodWin
SnapfireЖеня про Дотку
WarlockLeviamur
Spirit BreakerKorb3n
Skywrath MageLesn4ok
Model check result
Model favoriteGoodWin Team · 58%
Series resultGoodWin Team 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3