Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Nemesisloss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Kukuyswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Nemesis
Dark Willow
Jing · 2 games
Morphlingoften banned
Akashi · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
Jing · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
Raven · 1 game
Centaur Warrunner
Raven · 1 game
Dazzleoften banned
Raven · 1 game
Doomoften banned
Raven · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
Mac · 1 game
Kukuys
Earthshaker
Armel · 6 games
Clockwerk
Jing · 5 games
Tinyoften banned
Jing · 4 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Yowe · 3 games
Earth Spirit
Yowe · 3 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Gabbi · 3 games
Morphlingoften banned
Yowe · 3 games
Puckoften banned
Armel · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
482 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
473 picks · 550 bans
Ringmaster
444 picks · 227 bans
Terrorblade
347 picks · 681 bans
Storm Spirit
311 picks · 463 bans
Ancient Apparition
299 picks · 694 bans
Tusk
296 picks · 246 bans
Windranger
288 picks · 86 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 56%
Hero pool strength59% Team Nemesis
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Kukuys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Nemesis 43%Kukuys 57%
The model gave 57% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Kukuys.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Nemesis 43%Kukuys 57%
The model gave 57% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Kukuys.
Model check result
Model favoriteKukuys · 57%
Series resultKukuys 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2