The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionM4my 4 and 3 eldne ringloss 0:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Tt Geamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
my 4 and 3 eldne ring
No games played over 6 months.
Tt Geam
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
481 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
472 picks · 550 bans
Ringmaster
444 picks · 227 bans
Terrorblade
348 picks · 681 bans
Storm Spirit
310 picks · 462 bans
Ancient Apparition
298 picks · 694 bans
Tusk
295 picks · 245 bans
Windranger
287 picks · 86 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% my 4 and 3 eldne ring
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% my 4 and 3 eldne ring
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
my 4 and 3 eldne ring 62%Tt Geam 38%
The model gave 62% on my 4 and 3 eldne ring — the game was taken by Tt Geam.
Game 2prediction missed
my 4 and 3 eldne ring 62%Tt Geam 38%
The model gave 62% on my 4 and 3 eldne ring — the game was taken by Tt Geam.
Model check result
Model favoritemy 4 and 3 eldne ring · 62%
Series resultTt Geam 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2