The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionBABSJ and friendswin 2:1
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BBurdensloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BSJ and friends
No games played over 6 months.
Burdens
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
480 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
472 picks · 546 bans
Ringmaster
443 picks · 225 bans
Terrorblade
348 picks · 674 bans
Storm Spirit
310 picks · 459 bans
Ancient Apparition
298 picks · 689 bans
Tusk
295 picks · 244 bans
Windranger
286 picks · 86 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% BSJ and friends
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% BSJ and friends
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:22
BSJ and friends 51%Burdens 49%
The model gave 51% on BSJ and friends — the game was taken by Burdens in 40:21.
Game 2prediction correct18:43
BSJ and friends 51%Burdens 49%
The model gave 51% on BSJ and friends — the game was taken by BSJ and friends in 33:13.
Game 3prediction correct12:55
BSJ and friends 51%Burdens 49%
The model gave 51% on BSJ and friends — the game was taken by BSJ and friends in 29:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteBSJ and friends · 51%
Series resultBSJ and friends 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3