The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Cicade de Deusloss 0:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Tt Geamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Cicade de Deus
No games played over 6 months.
Tt Geam
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
480 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
472 picks · 546 bans
Ringmaster
443 picks · 225 bans
Terrorblade
348 picks · 674 bans
Storm Spirit
310 picks · 459 bans
Ancient Apparition
298 picks · 689 bans
Tusk
295 picks · 244 bans
Windranger
286 picks · 86 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Cicade de Deus
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Tt Geam
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:44
Cicade de Deus 47%Tt Geam 53%
The model gave 53% on Tt Geam — the game was taken by Tt Geam in 29:38.
Game 2prediction correct35:26
Cicade de Deus 47%Tt Geam 53%
The model gave 53% on Tt Geam — the game was taken by Tt Geam in 38:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteTt Geam · 53%
Series resultTt Geam 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2