Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 1:0
5C5 Coachesloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Beastmasteroften banned
Hermit · 13 games
Ember Spiritsignature
S1RENM · 8 games
Tinyoften banned
S1RENM · 8 games
Ogre Magi
JimmyCoff666 · 6 games
Queen of Painoften banned
S1RENM · 6 games
Ursaoften banned
DM · 6 games
Clockwerk
JimmyCoff666 · 5 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
JimmyCoff666 · 5 games
5 Coaches
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
480 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
472 picks · 546 bans
Ringmaster
443 picks · 225 bans
Terrorblade
348 picks · 674 bans
Storm Spirit
310 picks · 459 bans
Ancient Apparition
298 picks · 688 bans
Tusk
295 picks · 244 bans
Windranger
286 picks · 86 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% 5 Coaches
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:22
Infamous 68%5 Coaches 32%
The model gave 68% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 41:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 68%
Series resultInfamous 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1