The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
TeamDkwin 2:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SXSustancia Xloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TeamDk
No games played over 6 months.
Sustancia X
Bristlebackoften banned
drakesh1t · 2 games
Tinyoften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 2 games
Zeus
Pamplona · 2 games
Bounty Hunter
Pamplona · 1 game
Earthshaker
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 1 game
Enchantress
Pamplona · 1 game
Enigmaoften banned
drakesh1t · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
480 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
472 picks · 543 bans
Ringmaster
443 picks · 225 bans
Terrorblade
348 picks · 671 bans
Storm Spirit
309 picks · 457 bans
Ancient Apparition
298 picks · 687 bans
Tusk
294 picks · 241 bans
Windranger
286 picks · 86 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% TeamDk
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% TeamDk
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:33
TeamDk 51%Sustancia X 49%
The model gave 51% on TeamDk — the game was taken by TeamDk in 44:11.
Game 2prediction correct36:48
TeamDk 51%Sustancia X 49%
The model gave 51% on TeamDk — the game was taken by TeamDk in 38:35.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeamDk · 51%
Series resultTeamDk 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2