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BLAST Slam VIII. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 1:2
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Lynxwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
sayuw · 47 games
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 34 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
RESPECT · 27 games
56%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 27 games
81%
Rubick
Rubick
sayuw · 26 games
54%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
RESPECT · 22 games
50%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Corrupted · 22 games
41%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
Corrupted · 22 games
41%

Team Lynx

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QBFY · 29 games
55%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
QBFY · 28 games
54%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
kreker · 26 games
62%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 25 games
56%
Techies
Techies
kreker · 24 games
42%
Rubick
Rubick
QBFY · 23 games
57%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 20 games
45%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 17 games
41%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
492 picks · 332 bans
51%
Bane
Bane
346 picks · 467 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 509 bans
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
332 picks · 493 bans
52%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
309 picks · 644 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
279 picks · 305 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
265 picks · 188 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
261 picks · 280 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 52%
Hero pool strength51% HULIGANI
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total50% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:31
HULIGANI 50%Team Lynx 50%
The model gave 50% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 40:41.
Game 2prediction missed29:36
HULIGANI 50%Team Lynx 50%
The model gave 50% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Team Lynx in 34:30.
Game 3prediction missed
HULIGANI 50%Team Lynx 50%
The model gave 50% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Team Lynx.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 50%
Series resultTeam Lynx 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3