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The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacityloss 1:2
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Yellow Submarinewin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Zero Tenacity

Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Nefrit · 29 games
62%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
LeBronDota · 27 games
30%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Nefrit · 26 games
27%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Retsu · 26 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Stojkov · 25 games
40%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Retsu · 24 games
58%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Nefrit · 24 games
79%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Stojkov · 24 games
46%

Yellow Submarine

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
mrls · 9 games
44%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
re1bl · 9 games
56%
Muerta
Muertasignature
mrls · 8 games
63%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
mrls · 6 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
nesfeer · 6 games
33%
Lion
Lion
mrls · 6 games
33%
Timbersaw
Timbersaw
ififall · 6 games
33%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Htrd · 5 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
480 picks · 446 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
471 picks · 540 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
442 picks · 222 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
348 picks · 667 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
308 picks · 455 bans
54%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
298 picks · 683 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
294 picks · 240 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
286 picks · 86 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 46%
Hero pool strength52% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:30
Zero Tenacity 53%Yellow Submarine 47%
The model gave 53% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 33:39.
Game 2prediction missed9:29
Zero Tenacity 53%Yellow Submarine 47%
The model gave 53% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 28:21.
Game 3prediction missed45:20
Zero Tenacity 53%Yellow Submarine 47%
The model gave 53% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 34:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 53%
Series resultYellow Submarine 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3