The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Virtus.proloss 1:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Secretwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Virtus.pro
Dragon Knightsignature
Lorenof · 21 game
Storm Spiritsignature
Squad1x · 18 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Nande · 15 games
Abaddonsignature
Daxak · 14 games
Batridersignature
prblms · 13 games
Enchantress
Rein · 13 games
Terrorbladesignature
Daxak · 13 games
Enigmasignature
Daxak · 11 games
Team Secret
Tinysignature
Supream^ · 14 games
Bristlebacksignature
MikSa` · 13 games
Lionsignature
Thiolicor · 13 games
Pangolieroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 12 games
Elder Titan
Puppey · 11 games
Chensignature
Puppey · 10 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Parker · 10 games
Nyx Assassin
Thiolicor · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
480 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
471 picks · 540 bans
Ringmaster
442 picks · 222 bans
Terrorblade
348 picks · 666 bans
Storm Spirit
307 picks · 455 bans
Ancient Apparition
298 picks · 682 bans
Tusk
294 picks · 237 bans
Windranger
286 picks · 86 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 69%
Hero pool strength51% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct47:25
Virtus.pro 51%Team Secret 49%
The model gave 51% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 53:25.
Game 2prediction missed28:10
Virtus.pro 51%Team Secret 49%
The model gave 51% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Team Secret in 34:20.
Game 3prediction missed16:19
Virtus.pro 51%Team Secret 49%
The model gave 51% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Team Secret in 41:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LinaLorenof
UrsaKiritych
OmniknightDaxak
Kunkkare1bl
SlarkV-Tune
MagnusCloud
Nature's ProphetRein
ChenPuppey
EnchantressAntares
RubickThiolicor
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 51%
Series resultTeam Secret 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3