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The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Quantum Teamwin 2:1
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Lynxloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Quantum Team

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Rvze · 13 games
38%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
takizawa · 12 games
42%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Fezor · 11 games
18%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 11 games
27%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Rvze · 10 games
20%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Rvze · 8 games
13%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Lukas · 8 games
50%
Leshrac
Leshrac
kolya_kaBAN68 · 7 games
43%

Team Lynx

Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
StoneBank · 5 games
20%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
StoneBank · 3 games
0%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
DarkLord^ · 3 games
33%
Slardar
Slardar
StoneBank · 3 games
100%
Wraith King
Wraith King
StoneBank · 3 games
33%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
DarkLord^ · 2 games
0%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
lightless · 2 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
DarkLord^ · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
480 picks · 446 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
471 picks · 539 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
442 picks · 222 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
347 picks · 662 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
307 picks · 452 bans
54%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
297 picks · 682 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
293 picks · 235 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
284 picks · 86 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)30% vs 44%
Hero pool strength55% Team Lynx
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total53% Quantum Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:23
Quantum Team 49%Team Lynx 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Team Lynx in 26:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaLukas
52% · 27 games46% · 61 game
Lina7jesu
Lina
Kunkka
KunkkaAinkrad
53% · 24 games65% · 9 games
ClinkzMoonlight
Clinkz
Death Prophet
Death ProphetPalantimos
33% · 8 games49% · 50 games
OmniknightStoneBank
Omniknight
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionMary_y
60% · 6 games
Tusk
Tuskemptiness
52% · 55 games
Game 2prediction correct38:24
Quantum Team 53%Team Lynx 47%
The model gave 53% on Quantum Team — the game was taken by Quantum Team in 43:46.
Game 3prediction correct15:38
Quantum Team 53%Team Lynx 47%
The model gave 53% on Quantum Team — the game was taken by Quantum Team in 41:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteQuantum Team · 53%
Series resultQuantum Team 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3