Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Cyber Goosewin 1:0series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 1:0
PPASEKA1loss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Cyber Goose
No games played over 6 months.
PASEKA1
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
480 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
470 picks · 542 bans
Ringmaster
442 picks · 221 bans
Terrorblade
345 picks · 654 bans
Storm Spirit
305 picks · 452 bans
Ancient Apparition
297 picks · 675 bans
Tusk
289 picks · 229 bans
Windranger
283 picks · 85 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Cyber Goose
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total90% Cyber Goose
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:5
Cyber Goose 90%PASEKA1 10%
The model gave 90% on Cyber Goose — the game was taken by Cyber Goose in 14:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteCyber Goose · 90%
Series resultCyber Goose 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1