Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Hydraloss 0:1series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 0:1
DDDead Denastywin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hydra
Monkey Kingoften banned
selfhate · 13 games
Bristlebacksignature
Actor · 12 games
Terrorbladesignature
selfhate · 10 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
selfhate · 8 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Actor · 7 games
Queen of Painoften banned
mellojul · 7 games
Tinyoften banned
Ethereal · 7 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Actor · 6 games
Dead Denasty
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
480 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
470 picks · 541 bans
Ringmaster
442 picks · 221 bans
Terrorblade
344 picks · 654 bans
Storm Spirit
305 picks · 451 bans
Ancient Apparition
297 picks · 675 bans
Tusk
289 picks · 229 bans
Windranger
283 picks · 84 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 40%
Hero pool strength55% Hydra
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:49
Hydra 77%Dead Denasty 23%
The model gave 77% on Hydra — the game was taken by Dead Denasty in 46:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 77%
Series resultDead Denasty 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1