The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Secretwin 2:0series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MPmana plus 4loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Secret
Tinysignature
Supream^ · 14 games
Lionsignature
Thiolicor · 13 games
Bristlebacksignature
MikSa` · 12 games
Pangolieroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 12 games
Elder Titan
Puppey · 11 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Parker · 10 games
Nyx Assassin
Thiolicor · 10 games
Invokeroften banned
xn丶e · 9 games
mana plus 4
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
479 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
468 picks · 537 bans
Ringmaster
442 picks · 221 bans
Terrorblade
343 picks · 647 bans
Storm Spirit
305 picks · 450 bans
Ancient Apparition
296 picks · 669 bans
Tusk
287 picks · 222 bans
Windranger
281 picks · 84 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 60%
Hero pool strength52% Team Secret
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total90% Team Secret
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:43
Team Secret 90%mana plus 4 10%
The model gave 90% on Team Secret — the game was taken by Team Secret in 24:28.
Game 2prediction correct10:38
Team Secret 90%mana plus 4 10%
The model gave 90% on Team Secret — the game was taken by Team Secret in 25:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Secret · 90%
Series resultTeam Secret 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2