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BetBoom Streamers Battle 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Ramzes Teamwin 2:1
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:1
GoodWin Teamloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Ramzes Team

Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
Cooman · 2 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Afoninje · 1 game
100%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
Afoninje · 1 game
0%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Ravshan · 1 game
100%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
RAMZES666 · 1 game
100%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Ravshan · 1 game
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
RAMZES666 · 1 game
100%
Muerta
Muerta
Afoninje · 1 game
100%

GoodWin Team

Techies
Techies
Lesn4ok · 2 games
0%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Leviamur · 1 game
100%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
GoodWin · 1 game
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
GoodWin · 1 game
100%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
Mariachi · 1 game
0%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ChodΣX · 1 game
100%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
Leviamur · 1 game
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
GoodWin · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
479 picks · 446 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
469 picks · 535 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
441 picks · 221 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
343 picks · 644 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
305 picks · 449 bans
54%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
295 picks · 666 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
289 picks · 222 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
279 picks · 84 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Ramzes Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Ramzes Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:16
Ramzes Team 55%GoodWin Team 45%
The model gave 55% on Ramzes Team — the game was taken by Ramzes Team in 43:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaCooman
63% · 95 games44% · 230 games
MuertaMariachi
Muerta
Razor
RazorRAMZES666
49% · 64 games47% · 22 games
AxemeLes
Axe
Void Spirit
Void SpiritUnderShock
44% · 34 games49% · 144 games
TidehunterGoodWin
Tidehunter
Batrider
BatriderAfoninje
50% · 170 games53% · 130 games
Nature's ProphetLesn4ok
Nature's Prophet
Jakiro
JakiroRavshan
50% · 205 games49% · 42 games
VenomancerLeviamur
Venomancer
Game 2prediction missed25:52
Ramzes Team 54%GoodWin Team 46%
The model gave 54% on Ramzes Team — the game was taken by GoodWin Team in 36:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingCooman
50% · 171 game50% · 123 games
Nature's ProphetMariachi
Nature's Prophet
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritUnderShock
49% · 201 game45% · 129 games
MarcimeLes
Marci
Magnus
MagnusRAMZES666
58% · 102 games49% · 47 games
Void SpiritGoodWin
Void Spirit
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctorRavshan
40% · 34 games51% · 141 game
Crystal MaidenLesn4ok
Crystal Maiden
Snapfire
SnapfireAfoninje
51% · 122 games49% · 190 games
Dark WillowLeviamur
Dark Willow
Game 3prediction correct47:33
Ramzes Team 55%GoodWin Team 45%
The model gave 55% on Ramzes Team — the game was taken by Ramzes Team in 1:04:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenCooman
49% · 146 games48% · 251 game
WindrangerMariachi
Windranger
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritUnderShock
57% · 189 games49% · 95 games
SlardarmeLes
Slardar
Mars
MarsRAMZES666
53% · 114 games41% · 62 games
Void SpiritGoodWin
Void Spirit
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanAfoninje
48% · 68 games52% · 257 games
RubickLesn4ok
Rubick
Jakiro
JakiroRavshan
49% · 258 games53% · 110 games
LionLeviamur
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteRamzes Team · 58%
Series resultRamzes Team 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3