The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
KINGSloss 0:2series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Nemesiswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KINGS
No games played over 6 months.
Team Nemesis
Dazzleoften banned
Raven · 1 game
Sven
Jing · 1 game
Terrorbladeoften banned
Karma丶 · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
479 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
469 picks · 535 bans
Ringmaster
441 picks · 221 bans
Terrorblade
344 picks · 642 bans
Storm Spirit
306 picks · 447 bans
Ancient Apparition
295 picks · 661 bans
Tusk
289 picks · 221 bans
Windranger
280 picks · 84 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 33%
Hero pool strength57% KINGS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Team Nemesis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:38
KINGS 26%Team Nemesis 74%
The model gave 74% on Team Nemesis — the game was taken by Team Nemesis in 27:52.
Game 2prediction correct11:25
KINGS 26%Team Nemesis 74%
The model gave 74% on Team Nemesis — the game was taken by Team Nemesis in 25:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Nemesis · 74%
Series resultTeam Nemesis 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2