The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Tearlamentswin 1:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 1:0
TCTeam Curtainloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tearlaments
Ringmaster
7e · 3 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Echo · 2 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
poyoyo · 2 games
Alchemist
zzq · 1 game
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
7e · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
Echo · 1 game
Bounty Hunter
7e · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
Srf · 1 game
Team Curtain
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
477 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
465 picks · 534 bans
Ringmaster
439 picks · 221 bans
Terrorblade
342 picks · 638 bans
Storm Spirit
303 picks · 443 bans
Ancient Apparition
294 picks · 649 bans
Tusk
286 picks · 218 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 84 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Team Curtain
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Tearlaments
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Tearlaments 79%Team Curtain 21%
The model gave 79% on Tearlaments — the game was taken by Tearlaments.
Model check result
Model favoriteTearlaments · 79%
Series resultTearlaments 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1