The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionKTkapitank teamloss 0:2
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
barselonawin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
kapitank team
No games played over 6 months.
barselona
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
476 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
464 picks · 534 bans
Ringmaster
439 picks · 221 bans
Terrorblade
342 picks · 637 bans
Storm Spirit
303 picks · 443 bans
Ancient Apparition
294 picks · 648 bans
Tusk
285 picks · 218 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 84 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% kapitank team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% kapitank team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
kapitank team 51%barselona 49%
The model gave 51% on kapitank team — the game was taken by barselona.
Game 2prediction missed
kapitank team 51%barselona 49%
The model gave 51% on kapitank team — the game was taken by barselona.
Model check result
Model favoritekapitank team · 51%
Series resultbarselona 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2