The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacitywin 2:0series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Icebear Clubloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zero Tenacity
Bristlebacksignature
Nefrit · 30 games
Clockwerk
LeBronDota · 29 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Retsu · 27 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Nefrit · 25 games
Tinyoften banned
Stojkov · 25 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Retsu · 24 games
Enigmasignature
Nefrit · 24 games
Pangolieroften banned
Stojkov · 24 games
Icebear Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
476 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
464 picks · 534 bans
Ringmaster
439 picks · 221 bans
Terrorblade
342 picks · 637 bans
Storm Spirit
303 picks · 443 bans
Ancient Apparition
294 picks · 648 bans
Tusk
285 picks · 218 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 84 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 40%
Hero pool strength51% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 86%Icebear Club 14%
The model gave 86% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Game 2prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 86%Icebear Club 14%
The model gave 86% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 86%
Series resultZero Tenacity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2