The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionAIAnabela i Vivaldiloss 0:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:1
MPmana plus 4win 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Anabela i Vivaldi
No games played over 6 months.
mana plus 4
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
476 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
464 picks · 534 bans
Ringmaster
439 picks · 221 bans
Terrorblade
342 picks · 636 bans
Storm Spirit
303 picks · 443 bans
Ancient Apparition
294 picks · 648 bans
Tusk
284 picks · 218 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 84 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Anabela i Vivaldi
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% mana plus 4
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Anabela i Vivaldi 50%mana plus 4 50%
The model gave 50% on mana plus 4 — the game was taken by mana plus 4.
Model check result
Model favoritemana plus 4 · 50%
Series resultmana plus 4 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1