The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Enjoy Boys
Doomoften banned
v1olent- · 4 games
Rubick
swedenstrong · 4 games
Axeoften banned
мистер мораль · 3 games
Drow Rangeroften banned
v1olent- · 3 games
Enchantressoften banned
Rein · 3 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Squad1x · 3 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
Rein · 3 games
Bane
Rein · 2 games
HULIGANI
Hoodwink
sayuw · 41 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 38 games
Pucksignature
Mirage · 32 games
Slardaroften banned
Corrupted · 32 games
Phoenixoften banned
RESPECT · 30 games
Shadow Demonsignature
sayuw · 29 games
Rubick
sayuw · 26 games
Tusk
sayuw · 26 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
636 picks · 445 bans
Rubick
600 picks · 339 bans
Pangolier
452 picks · 653 bans
Phoenix
441 picks · 513 bans
Tiny
394 picks · 349 bans
Ember Spirit
340 picks · 497 bans
Storm Spirit
340 picks · 385 bans
Puck
315 picks · 982 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 60%
Hero pool strength54% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total67% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct5:24
Enjoy Boys 39%HULIGANI 61%
The model gave 61% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 42:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusav1olent-
Lifestealerssnovv1
Ember SpiritSquad1x
PuckMirage
Marsмистер мораль
DoomCorrupted
Clockwerkswedenstrong
Hoodwinksayuw
LichRein
Treant ProtectorRESPECT
Game 2prediction correct9:23
Enjoy Boys 41%HULIGANI 59%
The model gave 59% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 40:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kezv1olent-
Shadow Fiendssnovv1
Storm SpiritSquad1x
Centaur WarrunnerCorrupted
Bristlebackмистер мораль
Ember SpiritMirage
Hoodwinkswedenstrong
Treant ProtectorRESPECT
BaneRein
Ringmastersayuw
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 67%
Series resultHULIGANI 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2