The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yoru Ryodanwin 2:1series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:1
TSTeam Slayersloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yoru Ryodan
Lion
Ezekiel · 3 games
Clockwerk
Ezekiel · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Grimstroke
Ezekiel · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Iooften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Magnusoften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Ezekiel · 1 game
Team Slayers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
477 picks · 453 bans
Tiny
463 picks · 538 bans
Ringmaster
439 picks · 218 bans
Terrorblade
343 picks · 638 bans
Storm Spirit
303 picks · 446 bans
Ancient Apparition
293 picks · 648 bans
Tusk
286 picks · 217 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 83 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% Team Slayers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Team Slayers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed50:25
Yoru Ryodan 47%Team Slayers 53%
The model gave 53% on Team Slayers — the game was taken by Yoru Ryodan in 40:07.
Game 2prediction correct25:33
Yoru Ryodan 47%Team Slayers 53%
The model gave 53% on Team Slayers — the game was taken by Team Slayers in 28:35.
Game 3prediction missed44:39
Yoru Ryodan 47%Team Slayers 53%
The model gave 53% on Team Slayers — the game was taken by Yoru Ryodan in 39:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Slayers · 53%
Series resultYoru Ryodan 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3